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sepeskoe
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Feb 3, 2024 08:07PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10%
Yes
Nov 3, 2023 to May 3, 2024
90%
No
Nov 3, 2023 to May 3, 2024

If Israel appears to be winning the war with Hamas, and they effectively deter Hezbollah from launching incursions on another front, Iran may feel it's necessary to enter the fray to support their proxies in the middle East.

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