Confirmed previous forecast
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Relative Brier Score
28
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 0 | 13 | 100 | 28 | 399 |
Comments | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 33 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 13 | 25 | 16 | 73 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
Definitions |

New Prediction

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
71%
(0%)
Argentina
49%
(0%)
Bolivia
80%
(0%)
Ecuador
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
62%
(0%)
Yes
38%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
17%
(0%)
Yes
Mar 11, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026
83%
(0%)
No
Mar 11, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
50%
(0%)
Angola
22%
(0%)
Kenya
84%
(0%)
Ethiopia
42%
(0%)
Nigeria
Confirmed previous forecast
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
73%
(0%)
Yes
Mar 11, 2025 to Sep 11, 2025
27%
(0%)
No
Mar 11, 2025 to Sep 11, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
12%
(0%)
Yes
Mar 11, 2025 to Sep 11, 2025
88%
(0%)
No
Mar 11, 2025 to Sep 11, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
5%
(0%)
Yes
Mar 11, 2025 to Mar 11, 2026
95%
(0%)
No
Mar 11, 2025 to Mar 11, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
97%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
69%
(0%)
Yes
31%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
I'm going 50/50 on this one cause for Zelenskyy he doesn't want a cease fire he wants Russia(Putin) to pay for his crimes cause Putin was the one who started this war. The last meeting he had with trump he said that it's not the first time Putin has broken the agreement of cease fire and this is true, for example in the 2023 Russian Christmas Truce Proposal: On 6 January 2023, Russia declared a 36-hour unilateral ceasefire. Despite this, reports indicated that Russian forces continued shelling Ukrainian positions during the ceasefire period. Ukrainian officials reported multiple violations, including artillery fire in regions like Luhansk and Donetsk another one was in Donbas (2021): Throughout 2021, numerous ceasefire violations were recorded. For instance, on 8 May 2021, Ukrainian forces reported nine violations by pro-Russian forces, involving shelling in areas like Marinka and Avdiivka. Similarly, on 13 May 2021, there were 19 reported violations, resulting in the death of a Ukrainian serviceman.
Why might you be wrong?