LogicCurve

Dropping the "yes" forecast as RSF may be halted due to increased international condemnation.  If they do arrive in Khartoum in order to take control of the city - there may be further outrage. 

Starting low on "yes" as David Sacks statements reveal he's a "no" on export controls - 

"There was major news from China in the AI race this week: 1. Huawei introduced a new AI chip to compete with Nvidia. 2. The Chinese government instructed Chinese companies to stop buying certain Nvidia AI chips,” Sacks said in a Sept. 18 X posting.  "Taken together,” he wrote, “the message is clear: China is not desperate for our chips. It is producing its own, and intends to compete globally in the semiconductor market. Nvidia still has a substantial lead, according to most analysts, but Huawei is using its networking prowess to remain competitive." - David Sacks

Nvidia stock has tanked this past week, and is potentially feeling the pinch. "Nvidia was the heaviest weight on the market after the chip company lost 4.7%. Other AI darlings also struggled, including drops of 7.6% for Super Micro Computer, 6.6% for Palantir Technologies and 4.7% for Broadcom. "

However, this drop in AI companies' stock prices could be overdue as the AI market increased at a rapid pace and now the bubble has burst. "Such sensational performances have been one of the top reasons the U.S. market has hit records despite a slowing job market and high inflation. AI stock prices have shot so high, though, that they’re also drawing comparisons to the 2000 dot-com bubble which ultimately burst and dragged the S&P 500 down by nearly half."

Innovation and increase of AI learning is of utmost importance to the USA, in the AI race with China.  The fear is China may be winning the innovation race. 

"In particular,” Sacks wrote, “Huawei compensates for weaker individual chips by clustering more chips together. It’s time for Washington to update its assumptions with regard to export controls. American chip companies must be allowed to sell the American technology stack abroad, albeit with security requirements, else we forfeit the AI race to China.”  (again) David Sacks

"Fortune reported Sept. 18 on Chinese tech giant Huawei’s plans to ramp up production and cluster its advanced AI chips. According to other news reports last week, Chinese regulators instructed domestic companies not to buy NVIDIA’s AI chips."

HOWEVER - "President Trump made clear earlier this month that he doesn’t want Nvidia selling its most advanced artificial-intelligence chips to China."   Yet, China got them anyway - through a data center in Indonesia.   "Some former and current U.S. national-security officials say the U.S. should review deals such as the Jakarta one. Nvidia NVDA -3.58%decrease; red down pointing triangle and other tech companies argue for fewer export controls, saying it is better to have the rest of the world hooked on American technology and financing American innovation."

It's pretty foggy about what the USA will do as far as export controls when big deals are on the line.  If there is a way for the Trump administration to curtail the most cutting , advanced AI designs to China - without heightened export controls, that's probably what will occur. 

Updating with more information: 

Unfortunately this article is half paywalled, yet there is some information revealing the RSF is surviving due to arms and resource provision, and it is speculated this is coming to them through a route in Kenya. 

Additional information states the RSF has gained success in cities/villages (El Fasher in North Darfur and Kadugli in South Kordofan) by cutting them off from "supply routes, markets, and humanitarian access. " and "The fighting and blockade tactics have shut down basic systems of survival. At the same time the country’s service infrastructure has broken down drastically: hospitals, schools, sanitation, water systems — all are under threat or non-functional. For example, the World Health Organization reports that many Sudanese hospitals are closed or operating with no supplies."

There international voices condemning the RSF behavior are becoming more louder and this statement out of France is telling. 

However, unless the support to RSF is crippled, they will continue to attempt to control the country for their backers desire for precious metal (gold).  The RSF is using many tactics and strategies to do this. 

There is a new blood pressure device that incorporates AI . The device can be worn around the clock and provide continuous readings. The AI incorporated in this device is "deep learning" or "deep neural networks."  

The question inquires Re: LLM incorporation.  LLMs are designed for language tasks, such as:  texting, coaching, providing instructions, triaging questions and interpretation of data.  But not sensing or scanning images.   There could be a hybrid-type of situation where a medical device such as a blood pressure montior uses both deep neural network AI sensing and LLM to communicate (voice or text) to the patient or send messages to a provider.  

The blood pressure device is already on the scene, but there's no information it has been approved by the FDA yet and is still in the research stage.  However, a hybrid incorporation of AI LLM might feasibly be integrated to communicate findings via text or other mode.  

Yet, because this current device is still in the research stage, this development may not be approved by the FDA by 31 March, 2026.  Further there is no indication an LLM is involved in these devices, yet. So, I'm avoiding the knee-jerk reaction to forecast much higher on this question.  

A medical device of this nature 

From the article in this question's information  "We found that LLM output readily produced device-like decision support across a range of scenarios, suggesting a need for regulation if LLMs are formally deployed for clinical use."

While this type of device may work well, and be competent - the regulations that need to be in place would require policies and regulations.  The AI race and competition with China is at a speeding pace and the one statement Jensen Huang made was regarding concern China may win the race as it has softer regulations than the USA.  Thus, one reason to avoid increased regulations.  Yet, they are needed in the realm of medicine.  Further, the definition of a medical device (also in the above-cited article) is "Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act (FD&C Act § 201(h)(1)) defines a medical device as an “instrument… intended for use in the diagnosis, …cure, mitigation, treatment, or prevention of disease… which does not achieve its primary intended purposes through chemical action.” 

If the AI forgets to advise the patient of a needed medication, or fails to appropriately warn a patient regarding blood pressure readings - the results could be catastrophic.  Therefore, more training is in order and this type of oversight from AI into patient medical devices may be a while, if ever, without human oversight occurring at the same time. 

This also reminds me of this new AI device "FRIEND" (NBC News)

https://youtube.com/shorts/OukX3Gec8JU?si=DXrWv2DmzgQdnv9h

Agreeing with @Richard-V,  it seems the "yes" probability should be higher.  Al Fashir has been captured, and the RSF continues to advance. While it looks like it's a distance from Khartoum on a map - it's only about 500 miles away.   If they keep advancing it won't take long to arrive in Khartoum.  They are displacing people at a fast pace (2,000 a day according to the Associate Press).

Lowering already - noting the date 31 March, 2026.  

I cautiously forecast low on "yes," and will continue to follow the situations of this question for changes. 

The extreme violence, past coup, atrocities of genocide, blood and bodies seen from space , and the surmise that approximately 400,00 have been killed, are hitting the mainstream headlines.  

The RSF has received support from the UAE and now the UAE is reneging this assistance due to the increase of RSF's unpopularity.  A group of 20 countries made a joint statement condemning RSF's violations of humanitarian rights and international law. 

Without continued support the RSF may not be able to continue the rampage.  

As criticism grows, is UAE ready to walk away from Sudan’s RSF militia?

An atrocity foretold: How the RSF siege of El Fasher turned into genocidal slaughter

Communication networks are down but a deluge of shocking videos point to mass killings on a devastating scale. 

30 October, 2025

https://www.thenewhumanitarian.org/analysis/2025/10/30/atrocity-foretold-how-rsf-siege-el-fasher-turned-genocidal-slaughter

After mass killings in El Fasher and four years on from a coup, UAE now admits its Sudan policy has gone wrong

4 November, 2025

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/nov/04/sudan-rsf-militia-uae-united-arab-emirates

Finger of blame
"Four years on from the coup, the Gargash admission is a sign that in public at least the UAE acknowledges that its Sudan policy has gone wrong and that it must distance itself from the RSF, the force it so nurtured."