Will Egypt experience an economic collapse (as defined by any of the listed scenarios) in the next 12 months?
8 Forecasts
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(24 days from now)
Oct 06, 2025 06:56PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 2% | -2% | +0% |
| No | 100% | 98% | +2% | +0% |
In the next 18 months, will a Russian government cyber attack occur against energy or transportation infrastructure within a NATO country that produces a kinetic effect, causing physical damage or human casualties?
8 Forecasts
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(24 days from now)
Oct 06, 2025 06:56PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | Oct 6, 2025 to Apr 6, 2027 | Jan 6, 2026 | 6% | -6% | +1% |
| No | 100% | Oct 6, 2025 to Apr 6, 2027 | Jan 6, 2026 | 94% | +6% | -1% |
Will another Chinese military base in an African country (excluding Djibouti) be under construction or established by 1 January 2027?
8 Forecasts
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Oct 06, 2025 06:56PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 18% | -18% | -6% |
| No | 100% | 83% | +18% | +6% |
Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?
8 Forecasts
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Oct 06, 2025 06:56PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 3% | -3% | -1% |
| No | 100% | 97% | +3% | +1% |
Will the O-RAN Alliance’s specifications be integrated into 3GPP before 1 January 2027?
8 Forecasts
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Oct 06, 2025 06:56PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes, 3GPP will adopt and integrate O-RAN Alliance specifications | 0% | 3% | -3% | -2% |
| No, the O-RAN Alliance will continue to develop specifications independently of 3GPP | 100% | 96% | +4% | +2% |
| No, the O-RAN Alliance will stop developing specifications without being integrated into 3GPP | 0% | 2% | -2% | +0% |
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?
8 Forecasts
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Oct 06, 2025 06:56PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estonia | 0% | 3% | -3% | +0% |
| Latvia | 0% | 2% | -2% | +0% |
| Lithuania | 0% | 3% | -3% | +0% |
Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?
8 Forecasts
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Oct 06, 2025 06:56PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova | 0% | 6% | -6% | -1% |
| Armenia | 0% | 2% | -2% | +0% |
| Georgia | 0% | 3% | -3% | -1% |
| Kazakhstan | 0% | 1% | -1% | +0% |
Will Wagner Group or Africa Corps deploy to Togo or an additional African country before 1 January 2026?
8 Forecasts
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(24 days from now)
Oct 06, 2025 06:56PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Togo | 0% | 4% | -4% | -6% |
| Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations | Answer was correct | |||
Will human bioengineering activities cause a biological event of high consequence (pandemic, panzootic, or epiphytotic) before 1 January 2030?
9 Forecasts
Jan 01, 2030 05:00AM UTC
(4 years from now)
Oct 06, 2025 06:56PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 7% | -7% | +0% |
| No | 100% | 93% | +7% | +0% |
When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?
7 Forecasts
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(24 days from now)
Oct 06, 2025 06:56PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 January 2025 - 31 March 2025 | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| 1 April 2025 - 30 June 2025 | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| 1 July 2025 - 30 September 2025 | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| 1 October 2025 - 31 December 2025 | 0% | 2% | -2% | -2% |
| Not before 2026 | 100% | 98% | +2% | +2% |