Odin

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Odin is a widely revered God in the mythology of Northern Europe. He is associated with, among other things, wisdom, knowledge, war, and divination (forecasting). He is often accompanied by the ravens Huginn (Thought) and Muninn (Memory), who bring him information from all over the world. Odin is emblematic of the attainment of knowledge through personal sacrifice. Most notably he is one-eyed due to sacrificing an eye in exchange for a drink from the Well of Fate, which granted him knowledge of the universe.

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Forecasted Questions
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What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between June 15 and August 15, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Aug 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 03, 2020 12:19AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 0.5% Answer was incorrect
Between 0.5% and 1.0%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 1.0% but less than or equal to 1.5% Answer was correct
More than 1.5% Answer was incorrect

Will either China or the United States withdraw from their January 2020 trade truce by August 31, 2020?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Sep 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 20, 2020 11:52PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will Microsoft announce an agreement to purchase TikTok service in the United States by September 15, 2020?

Forecast Count:
 8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Sep 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 02, 2020 04:58PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the U.S. Justice Department file an antitrust lawsuit against Google by September 14, 2020?

Forecast Count:
 8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Sep 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 14, 2020 02:24AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

What percentage of U.S. news articles about facial recognition will have a negative framing between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 16, 2020 11:43PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 30% Answer was incorrect
Between 30% and 40%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 40% but less than or equal to 50% Answer was correct
More than 50% but less than or equal to 60% Answer was incorrect
More than 60% Answer was incorrect

How many postings for U.S. jobs requiring machine learning skills will be published between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 19, 2020 05:57PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 20,000 Answer was incorrect
Between 20,000 and 35,000, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 35,000 but less than or equal to 50,000 Answer was correct
More than 50,000 but less than or equal to 65,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 65,000 Answer was incorrect

What percentage of O-1 visas will go to Chinese nationals between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Sep 28, 2020 08:00PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 19, 2020 06:06PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 2% Answer was correct
Between 2% and 4% inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 4% but less than or equal to 6% Answer was incorrect
More than 6% but less than or equal to 8% Answer was incorrect
More than 8% Answer was incorrect

Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea by September 30, 2020?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 19, 2020 06:06PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2020?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Sep 28, 2020 04:00PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 27, 2020 07:34PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $300 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $300 billion and $450 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $450 billion but less than or equal to $600 billion Answer was correct
More than $600 billion but less than or equal to $750 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $750 billion Answer was incorrect

Will the United States add SMIC to the Entity List by October 14, 2020?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Oct 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 12, 2020 01:19PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect
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