Confirmed previous forecast
1.029116
Relative Brier Score
24
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 49 |
| Comments | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
63%
(0%)
Yes
37%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
53%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 31, 2025 to Jun 30, 2026
47%
(0%)
No
Dec 31, 2025 to Jun 30, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
65%
(0%)
Moldova
35%
(0%)
Armenia
50%
(0%)
Georgia
20%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
35%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 31, 2025 to Jun 30, 2026
65%
(0%)
No
Dec 31, 2025 to Jun 30, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
19
10%
18
40%
17
50%
16 or fewer
Why do you think you're right?
Italy, South Korea, and Japan might recognize Palestine as a State.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
They probably will not, due to their politics leaned to the right, aligned to the United States.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
63%
(0%)
Yes
37%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jan 1, 2026 12:06AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
53%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 1, 2025 to Jun 1, 2026
47%
(0%)
No
Dec 1, 2025 to Jun 1, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
65%
(0%)
Moldova
35%
(0%)
Armenia
50%
(0%)
Georgia
20%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
I think I'm right because at the moment, Ivan Cepeda is the most consolidated name for the 2026 Colombian Poll, as well as the left-wing in Colombia are growing up under Petro government.
Why might you be wrong?
I might be wrong because the right-wing still have a great amount of electors, as it was by far, the dominant wing in Colombia. However, colombians might reject both extremes and put Fajardo on as president, leaning to a moderate government, able to dialogue with both sides around the world.