20th
Accuracy Rank

Rene

Rene Scheffers
About:
Show more

No Scores Yet

Relative Brier Score

0

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 27 105 1691 1590 2213
Comments 12 47 670 607 684
Questions Forecasted 23 45 94 89 97
Upvotes on Comments By This User 2 6 186 159 318
 Definitions
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Reducing after reading more about the topic.

Files
Why might you be wrong?

N/A

Files
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

I think we’re already at about ten deaths now, and it looks like the Thai military has no intention of stopping the fighting.

"Cambodia says Thailand’s military resumed attacks on Tuesday morning in border regions, killing at least seven people. Thailand says at least three soldiers killed in the attacks."

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2025/12/9/thailand-cambodia-live

Files
Why might you be wrong?

The conflict could be frozen again if Trump steps in. It would probably only hold for a short time, but that might be long enough for this question to end with a “no.”

Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Rene
made their 56th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1% (0%)
Yes
Dec 9, 2025 to Jun 9, 2026
99% (0%)
No
Dec 9, 2025 to Jun 9, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Rene
made their 54th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2% (0%)
Yes
Dec 9, 2025 to Jun 9, 2026
98% (0%)
No
Dec 9, 2025 to Jun 9, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?

N/A

Files
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

I was a bit too fast with lowering my forecast.

Files
Why might you be wrong?

N/A

Files
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username