Toggle navigation
FAQ
See Forecasts
Blog
Join Now
Sign In
Valeria-Olvera-Alvarado
Valeria Olvera Alvarado
About:
Show more
View All Badges »
Menu
Overview
Forecasts
Performance
Scores
Badges
Following (0)
Followers (2)
Questions
Topics
Seasons
2020 Season
2024 Season
2021 Season
2023 Season
2022 Season
2025 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Emerging Technology
Forecaster Submissions
Formerly on Foretell
Geopolitical Security
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Quickfire Forecasts
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
Biotech
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
Emerging Tech - AI
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
MENA
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mirror Life
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russia-Europe
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Jan 11, 2025 05:01AM UTC
Will Nicolás Maduro be president of Venezuela on 11 January 2025?
0.006714
Jan 01, 2025 05:01AM UTC
Will a JCPOA participant country begin the process of imposing “snapback” sanctions on Iran by 31 December 2024?
0.000097
Jan 01, 2025 05:01AM UTC
Before 1 January 2025, will Iran announce that it will leave the JCPOA ("Iran nuclear deal")?
-0.001476
Jan 01, 2025 05:01AM UTC
Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?
0.48949
Nov 01, 2024 07:00PM UTC
Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 1, 2024 and Nov 1, 2024)
-0.018019
Oct 01, 2024 07:00PM UTC
Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 29, 2024 and Oct 1, 2024)
-0.611818
Jun 28, 2024 04:00PM UTC
Will 100 or more people be killed or injured in a Russian attack on the city of Kyiv before 1 June 2024?
0.007355
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
Before 1 June 2024, will Facebook, WhatsApp, Messenger, or Twitter announce that they are labeling posts as potentially written by AI?
0.039442
Apr 19, 2024 02:19AM UTC
Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear- or missile-related facility in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 11, 2023 and Apr 19, 2024)
0.063649
Apr 02, 2024 03:00PM UTC
Will BP or Shell resume oil shipments through the Red Sea before 31 March 2024?
0.000698
Mar 20, 2024 08:00PM UTC
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Feb 20, 2024 and Mar 20, 2024)
0.003379
Feb 20, 2024 08:00PM UTC
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 20, 2024 and Feb 20, 2024)
0.006639
Jan 20, 2024 08:00PM UTC
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 20, 2023 and Jan 20, 2024)
0.003161
Jan 19, 2024 03:26PM UTC
Will a moon mission land safely on the moon between 1 September 2023 and 31 May 2024, inclusive?
0.298155
Files
Remove
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Publish Anonymously
Cancel
