Forecasted Questions
Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied features in the South China Sea before July 1, 2021?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 19, 2021 03:59PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 19, 2021 03:59PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 10, 2021 11:13PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Apr 10, 2021 11:13PM UTC
(4 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor chips to China in 2022?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 02, 2021 04:08PM UTC
(4 years ago)
May 02, 2021 04:08PM UTC
(4 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $8.5 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than $8.5 billion but less than or equal to $10 billion | Answer was correct | |||
| Between $10 billion and $11.5 billion, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between $11.5 billion and $13 billion, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than $13 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment in 2022?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 02, 2021 04:21PM UTC
(4 years ago)
May 02, 2021 04:21PM UTC
(4 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $25 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than $25 billion but less than or equal to $35 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between $35 billion and $45 billion, inclusive | Answer was correct | |||
| Between $45 billion and $55 billion, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than $55 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor chips in 2022?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 02, 2021 04:34PM UTC
(4 years ago)
May 02, 2021 04:34PM UTC
(4 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $320 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than $320 billion but less than or equal to $350 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between $350 billion and $380 billion, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between $380 billion and $410 billion, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than $410 billion | Answer was correct | |||
Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 05:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2023 05:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 29, 2021 08:21PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Dec 29, 2021 08:21PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was correct | |||