RAND Forecasting Initiative

Question Ends:
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 28, 2021 09:57PM UTC
(3 years ago)

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 29, 2021 06:09PM UTC
(3 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than -0.25	30%	14%	+16%	+0%
Between -0.25 and 0, inclusive	50%	31%	+19%	+0%
More than 0 but less than or equal to 0.25	15%	33%	-18%	+1%
More than 0.25 but less than or equal to 0.5	4%	17%	-13%	+0%
More than 0.5	1%	4%	-3%	+0%

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 29, 2021 06:10PM UTC
(3 years ago)

cfboose