Forecasted Questions
Will the EU import at least 19 billion cubic meters of natural gas from Russia in the second half of 2025?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(23 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(23 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 29, 2025 01:06AM UTC
(10 days ago)
Nov 29, 2025 01:06AM UTC
(10 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| No | 100% | 100% | +0% | +0% |
How many of the 19 G20 member countries will have recognized the State of Palestine before 1 Feb 2026?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Feb 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 29, 2025 01:27AM UTC
(10 days ago)
Nov 29, 2025 01:27AM UTC
(10 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| 18 | 1% | 1% | +1% | +0% |
| 17 | 4% | 1% | +3% | +0% |
| 16 or fewer | 95% | 99% | -4% | +0% |
Will Sudan’s Rapid Support Forces retake control over Khartoum city by 31 March 2026?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Apr 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 29, 2025 01:44AM UTC
(10 days ago)
Nov 29, 2025 01:44AM UTC
(10 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | 3% | +2% | +1% |
| No | 95% | 97% | -2% | -1% |
Will the FDA have authorized a medical device that incorporates LLM-based functionality by 31 March 2026?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Apr 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 29, 2025 02:20AM UTC
(10 days ago)
Nov 29, 2025 02:20AM UTC
(10 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | 3% | -1% | +2% |
| No | 98% | 97% | +1% | -2% |
Will the Cambodia-Thailand conflict result in at least 20 deaths between 4 November 2025 and 15 January 2026, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 16, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Jan 16, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 08, 2025 05:16PM UTC
(17 hours ago)
Dec 08, 2025 05:16PM UTC
(17 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40% | 25% | +15% | +4% |
| No | 60% | 75% | -15% | -4% |
What will the U.S. Space Force budget be in the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(23 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(23 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 09, 2025 12:30AM UTC
(10 hours ago)
Dec 09, 2025 12:30AM UTC
(10 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $21.0 billion | 5% | 19% | -14% | -2% |
| More than or equal to $21.0 billion but less than $22.5 billion | 80% | 44% | +36% | +1% |
| More than or equal to $22.5 billion but less than $23.5 billion | 15% | 15% | +0% | +0% |
| More than or equal to $23.5 billion but less than $25.0 billion | 0% | 9% | -9% | +0% |
| More than or equal to $25.0 billion | 0% | 13% | -13% | +0% |