Making my first forecast!
-0.002292
Relative Brier Score
2
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Artificial Intelligence,
Emerging Technology
New Prediction
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
Yes
97%
No
Files
Why do you think you're right?
There won't be enough domestic pressure/consensus.
Why might you be wrong?
Scary new AI technology that's visible (like chat GPT was) and makes AI risk real to public.