Forecasted Questions
What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between June 15 and August 15, 2020, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Aug 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 09, 2020 07:55PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 09, 2020 07:55PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 0.5% | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 0.5% and 1.0%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 1.0% but less than or equal to 1.5% | Answer was correct | |||
More than 1.5% | Answer was incorrect |
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea by September 30, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 18, 2020 01:36PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 18, 2020 01:36PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
How many AI papers will be posted on arXiv between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 23, 2020 01:56PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 23, 2020 01:56PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 6,000 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 6,000 and 8,000, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 8,000 but less than or equal to 10,000 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 10,000 but less than or equal to 12,000 | Answer was correct | |||
More than 12,000 | Answer was incorrect |
Will either China or India respond to the events in Aksai Chin on June 15, 2020 by launching an airstrike, missile attack, or using another form of lethal force by June 28, 2020?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 29, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 29, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 25, 2020 04:51PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 25, 2020 04:51PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant between October 1, 2020 and September 30, 2021, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 25, 2021 06:59PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Feb 25, 2021 06:59PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 30, 2020 01:13AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 30, 2020 01:13AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 5,000 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 5,000 and 7,500, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 7,500 but less than or equal to 10,000 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 10,000 but less than or equal to12,500 | Answer was correct | |||
More than12,500 | Answer was incorrect |
Will the Executive Branch delay implementation of any part of Section 889, Part B, of the 2018 National Defense Authorization Act by July 17, 2020?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 11, 2020 10:55AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 11, 2020 10:55AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
Will the Indian government continue the TikTok ban through July 14, 2020?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 14, 2020 01:09PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 14, 2020 01:09PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was correct |
Will the Chinese government add Apple, Qualcomm, Cisco, or Boeing to its 'unreliable entities list' by August 10, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 11, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Aug 11, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 27, 2020 06:23PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 27, 2020 06:23PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
Will Germany, France, Italy, or Spain announce any new restrictions on the use of Huawei equipment in their 5G networks by July 31, 2020?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Aug 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 30, 2020 03:56PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 30, 2020 03:56PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the third quarter of 2020 (ending September 30)?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Sep 23, 2020 07:00PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Sep 23, 2020 07:00PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 18, 2020 01:41AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Aug 18, 2020 01:41AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than $190 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between $190 billion and $230 billion, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than $230 billion but less than or equal to $270 billion | Answer was correct | |||
More than $270 billion but less than or equal to $310 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than $310 billion | Answer was incorrect |