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New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Apr 28, 2024 06:33PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2%
(0%)
Yes
Jan 28, 2024 to Jul 28, 2024
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New Prediction
This forecast expired on Feb 28, 2024 06:33PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Jan 28, 2024 to Jul 28, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jan 3, 2024 05:18PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
Yes
Dec 3, 2023 to Jun 3, 2024
Under the Biden administration, this will never happen. HIs administration is aware that it is impossible to strike Iranian nuclear facilities without completely disrupting the Middle East, and it is not his administrations main concern in the region right now.
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New Prediction
This forecast expired on Feb 26, 2024 06:07PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2%
Yes
Nov 26, 2023 to May 26, 2024
Why do you think you're right?
There is not a chance that Iran will renegotiate back down to JCPOA levels of enrichment
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Somehow Biden and his administration execute foreign policy on a level not seen since Stresemann in Weimar Germany
Files
Why do you think you're right?
iran backed militia just drone-struck Americans in Jordan
Why might you be wrong?
Iran-backed doesn't necessarily mean Iranian strike