Time decay
-0.480913
Relative Brier Score
500
Forecasts
17
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 19 | 548 | 500 | 565 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | 16 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 15 | 75 | 59 | 79 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 19 | 17 | 19 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
(-9%)
Yes
70%
(+9%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Less than 62%
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 62% but less than 66%
1%
(-4%)
More than or equal to 66% but less than 70%
99%
(+4%)
More than or equal to 70% but less than 74%
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 74%
Why do you think you're right?
Time decay
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
18%
(-10%)
Yes
82%
(+10%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Time decay
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(-2%)
Yes
Nov 7, 2025 to May 7, 2026
100%
(+2%)
No
Nov 7, 2025 to May 7, 2026
Why do you think you're right?
Adjusting closer to consensus
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Less than 62%
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 62% but less than 66%
5%
(0%)
More than or equal to 66% but less than 70%
95%
(0%)
More than or equal to 70% but less than 74%
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 74%
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes, 3GPP will adopt and integrate O-RAN Alliance specifications
97%
(0%)
No, the O-RAN Alliance will continue to develop specifications independently of 3GPP
1%
(0%)
No, the O-RAN Alliance will stop developing specifications without being integrated into 3GPP
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
28%
(0%)
Yes
72%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 7, 2025 to May 7, 2027
98%
(0%)
No
Nov 7, 2025 to May 7, 2027
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Time decay
Why might you be wrong?