1st
Accuracy Rank

SandroAVL

About:
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2.602504

Relative Brier Score

661

Forecasts

245

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 19 25 119 119 1063
Comments 10 23 130 130 545
Questions Forecasted 4 4 18 18 92
Upvotes on Comments By This User 1 3 9 9 297
 Definitions
New Prediction
SandroAVL
made their 20th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
1 January 2025 - 31 March 2025
0% (0%)
1 April 2025 - 30 June 2025
0% (0%)
1 July 2025 - 30 September 2025
1% (0%)
1 October 2025 - 31 December 2025
99% (0%)
Not before 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
SandroAVL
made their 15th forecast (view all):
This forecast will expire on Jan 7, 2026
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2% (0%)
Yes
Dec 7, 2025 to Jun 7, 2026
98% (0%)
No
Dec 7, 2025 to Jun 7, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
SandroAVL
made their 23rd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
3% (0%)
Estonia
2% (0%)
Latvia
3% (0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
SandroAVL
made their 32nd forecast (view all):
This forecast will expire on Jan 7, 2026
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1% (0%)
Yes
Dec 7, 2025 to Jun 7, 2026
99% (0%)
No
Dec 7, 2025 to Jun 7, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
SandroAVL
made their 19th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
1 January 2025 - 31 March 2025
0% (0%)
1 April 2025 - 30 June 2025
0% (0%)
1 July 2025 - 30 September 2025
1% (0%)
1 October 2025 - 31 December 2025
99% (0%)
Not before 2026
Why do you think you're right?

Confirming the forecast. 

https://x.com/visegrad24/status/1997305645612098032?t=TFzjl6wN8klo2KmHIImPSw&s=19

Quote : "Russia launched a major air attack on Ukrainian energy and transport infrastructure early this morning.


653 suicide drones and 51 missiles were fired on Ukrainian cities.


Ukraine shot down:


- 585 out of 653 drones

- 29 out of 34 cruise missiles

- 1 out of 14 ballistic missiles 

- 0 out of 3 hypersonic missiles (Kinzhal)


In the Kyiv region, the Fastiv railway station and energy infrastructure were hit.


In Bila Tserkva, a power plant was hit.


In the Lviv region, a power plant was attacked.


Russia also hit energy infrastructure in the Dnipropetrovsk, Poltava and Chernihiv regions." End of quote 

Files
Why might you be wrong?

The nature of politics 

Files
New Prediction
SandroAVL
made their 22nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
3% (0%)
Estonia
2% (0%)
Latvia
3% (0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
SandroAVL
made their 18th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
1 January 2025 - 31 March 2025
0% (0%)
1 April 2025 - 30 June 2025
0% (0%)
1 July 2025 - 30 September 2025
1% (0%)
1 October 2025 - 31 December 2025
99% (0%)
Not before 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
SandroAVL
made their 14th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2% (0%)
Yes
Dec 4, 2025 to Jun 4, 2026
98% (0%)
No
Dec 4, 2025 to Jun 4, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
SandroAVL
made their 31st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1% (0%)
Yes
Dec 4, 2025 to Jun 4, 2026
99% (0%)
No
Dec 4, 2025 to Jun 4, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
SandroAVL
made their 21st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
3% (0%)
Estonia
2% (0%)
Latvia
3% (0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Files
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