RAND Forecasting Initiative

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Your Score

Will any private messages obtained in the July 15, 2020 Twitter hack be leaked to the public by November 2, 2020?

Closed Nov 03, 2020 02:25PM UTC · 183 · 326

Will Microsoft announce an agreement to purchase TikTok service in the United States by September 15, 2020?

Closed Sep 13, 2020 06:54PM UTC · 137 · 295

Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea by September 30, 2020?

Closed Oct 01, 2020 04:00AM UTC · 163 · 255

What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2021 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?

Closed Mar 07, 2021 09:22PM UTC · 182 · 242

Will either China or the United States withdraw from their January 2020 trade truce by August 31, 2020?

Closed Sep 01, 2020 01:31PM UTC · 145 · 236

Will the U.S. Justice Department file an antitrust lawsuit against Google by September 14, 2020?

Closed Sep 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC · 132 · 221

Will the Chinese government add Apple, Qualcomm, Cisco, or Boeing to its 'unreliable entities list' by August 10, 2020?

Closed Aug 11, 2020 03:59AM UTC · 124 · 174

Will the United States add SMIC to the Entity List by October 14, 2020?

Closed Oct 15, 2020 04:00AM UTC · 85 · 172

What percentage of U.S. news articles about facial recognition will have a negative framing between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?

Closed Oct 01, 2020 02:37PM UTC · 130 · 169

Will Germany, France, Italy, or Spain announce any new restrictions on the use of Huawei equipment in their 5G networks by July 31, 2020?

Closed Aug 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC · 111 · 161