RAND Forecasting Initiative

SPECIAL NOTICE: INFER is now the RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI). Learn more about RFI.

Status

Season

Sort By

Filter By

Featured Questions

Topics

Select All

Artificial Intelligence (4) only
China Politics, Relati... (1) only
International Diplomac... (38) only
Iran: Threats & Influence (16) only
Microelectronic Techno... (1) only
Russia-Ukraine War (8) only
Science & Technology (12) only

Your Score

Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

Closed Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC · 295 · 1857

When will 1 billion people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?

Closed Apr 28, 2022 01:30AM UTC · 189 · 1026

Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months?

Closed Mar 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC · 197 · 907

Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months?

Closed Feb 02, 2023 05:00AM UTC · 181 · 900

Will the United States have the world's fastest supercomputer in June 2022?

Closed May 31, 2022 03:08PM UTC · 197 · 808

Will China seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied feature in the South China Sea in the next six months?

Closed May 23, 2023 03:04PM UTC · 133 · 746

Will Russia invade Ukraine by December 31, 2022?

Closed Feb 28, 2022 03:38PM UTC · 174 · 736

Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025?

Closed Sep 26, 2023 04:00PM UTC · 211 · 729

Will Hu Chunhua be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

Closed Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC · 95 · 722

Will Li Keqiang be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

Closed Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC · 95 · 680