RAND Forecasting Initiative

Crowd Forecast

What will be the price of the Dutch TTF futures monthly contracts between March 2022 and February 2023?

Closed Mar 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC · 47 · 631

What will the Senate's average Bipartisan Index score be from 2021-2022?

Closed Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC · 148 · 593

How politically polarized will U.S. citizens be in 2024?

Closed Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC · 231 · 556

How will annual money raised by U.S. tech startups change over the next three years?

Closed Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC · 79 · 526

How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years?

Closed Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC · 102 · 514

How will the percentage of U.S residents who are concerned about how the government uses their data change over the next three years?

Closed Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC · 155 · 480

Which company will be the largest semiconductor company by sales revenue in 2022?

Closed Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC · 82 · 413

[Experimental] Did COVID-19 originate in a lab in Wuhan, China?

Closed Oct 01, 2021 05:59PM UTC · 144 · 387

35%

Chance

What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2022?

Closed Apr 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC · 76 · 344

How will the number of Japanese Air Force responses to threats to Japan's territorial airspace by Chinese military aircraft change over the next three years?

Closed Apr 15, 2022 11:00PM UTC · 62 · 309