RAND Forecasting Initiative

SPECIAL NOTICE: INFER is now the RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI). Learn more about RFI.

Your Score

Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

Closed Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC · 295 · 1857

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 March 2023?

Closed Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC · 348 · 1512

Will United Airlines announce that they are using sustainable aviation fuel produced by Cemvita Factory by 31 Dec 2023?

Closed Jan 01, 2024 05:00PM UTC · 118 · 1104

Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month?

Closed Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC · 175 · 1073

When will 1 billion people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?

Closed Apr 28, 2022 01:30AM UTC · 189 · 1026

Will events involving Russian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities occurring on or in the soil, airspace, or territorial waters of a NATO member state before 1 April 2023?

Closed Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC · 150 · 940

Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months?

Closed Mar 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC · 197 · 907

Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months?

Closed Feb 02, 2023 05:00AM UTC · 181 · 900

Will Google’s Quantum AI lab publish 20 or more publications in 2023?

Closed Nov 18, 2023 05:00PM UTC · 110 · 883

Will events involving Russian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities occurring in Georgia or Moldova before 1 April 2023?

Closed Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM UTC · 121 · 855