RAND Forecasting Initiative

Your Score

Will Iran agree to limit uranium enrichment to 5% or less in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 22, 2023 and Dec 22, 2023)

Closed Dec 22, 2023 08:00PM UTC · 73 · 201

Will Iran eliminate its stockpile of uranium enriched up to 60% by 31 December 2024, according to the IAEA?

Closed Jan 01, 2025 05:01AM UTC · 93 · 1046

Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear- or missile-related facility in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 11, 2023 and Oct 11, 2023)

Closed Oct 11, 2023 04:00PM UTC · 68 · 145

Before 1 January 2025, will Iran announce that it will leave the JCPOA ("Iran nuclear deal")?

Closed Jan 01, 2025 05:01AM UTC · 107 · 921

Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear- or missile-related facility in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 11, 2023 and Sep 11, 2023)

Closed Sep 11, 2023 04:00PM UTC · 51 · 66

Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear- or missile-related facility in the next 6 months?

Closed Apr 19, 2024 02:19AM UTC · 113 · 631

Will a JCPOA participant country begin the process of imposing “snapback” sanctions on Iran by 31 December 2024?

Closed Jan 01, 2025 05:01AM UTC · 73 · 763

Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?

Closed Jan 01, 2025 05:01AM UTC · 112 · 1102

Will Ali Khamenei flee Iran or cease to be Supreme Leader before 1 March 2024?

Closed Mar 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 99 · 777

Will the value of 1 US Dollar equal or exceed 800,000 Iranian Rial on the open market (or 80,000 Toman, as reported on Bonbast) before 1 September 2023?

Closed Sep 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC · 45 · 188