Toggle navigation
FAQ
See Forecasts
Blog
Join Now
Sign In
Topics
Questions
The Question Lab
Filters
Status
Active
Coming Soon
Completed
Active
Pending Resolution
Resolved
Suspended
Season
2024 Season
All
2024 Season
2023 Season
2022 Season
2021 Season
2020 Season
Sort By
Start Date
End Date
Number of Forecasts
Number of Forecasters
Alphabetically
Filter By
Featured Questions
Topics
Select All
Artificial Intelligence (7)
only
China Politics, Relati... (1)
only
International Diplomac... (38)
only
Iran: Threats & Influence (15)
only
Microelectronic Techno... (1)
only
Russia-Ukraine War (8)
only
Science & Technology (16)
only
Show more
Tags
Select All
No Tags
only
Iran Nuclear Program (10)
only
Iran-VNSAs (5)
only
Open RAN (4)
only
Africa (3)
only
Economic Debt (3)
only
Russian Disinformation (3)
only
China Lithography (2)
only
Cybersecurity (2)
only
East Asia Security (2)
only
Show more
Question
Crowd Forecast
Will there be an agreed-upon pause in the conflict between Israel and Hamas that starts before 1 December 2024 and lasts at least 30 days?
Closing
Dec 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
·
163
·
1469
10%
Chance
By 31 December 2024, will Microsoft announce that its AI Research Lab in China is closing or being relocated?
Closing
Dec 30, 2024 05:00AM UTC
·
248
·
1002
5%
Chance
Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
104
·
979
Will Iran eliminate its stockpile of uranium enriched up to 60% by 31 December 2024, according to the IAEA?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
89
·
926
By 31 December 2024, will uranium enriched to 90% or more be discovered in an Iranian facility, according to the IAEA?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
96
·
925
1%
Chance
Will Iran agree to limit uranium enrichment to 5% or less in the next 6 months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
108
·
899
0%
Chance
Will Iran launch missiles or conduct an airstrike against U.S. forces in the next six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
117
·
873
2%
Chance
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia publicly acknowledge that they are resuming the normalization process in the next six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
114
·
867
1%
Chance
Will Russia deliver the below weapons systems to Iran before 1 February 2025?
Closing
Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
83
·
833
Before 1 January 2025, will Iran announce that it will leave the JCPOA ("Iran nuclear deal")?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
103
·
825
1%
Chance
1
2
3
4
5
Next ›
Last »
Files
Remove
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Publish Anonymously
Cancel