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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will Wagner Group or Africa Corps deploy to Togo or an additional African country before 1 January 2026?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
53
·
318
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?
Closing
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
159
·
833
1%
Chance
Will the sub-Saharan African governments listed (Angola, Kenya, Ethiopia, Nigeria) cease to service their external debt and enter into default before 1 October 2025?
Closing
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
38
·
144
Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa in the next six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
66
·
329
44%
Chance
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
139
·
563
1%
Chance
Will the O-RAN Alliance’s specifications be integrated into 3GPP before 1 January 2027?
Closing
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
·
30
·
222
Will the Latin American governments listed (Argentina, Bolivia, Ecuador) cease to service their external debt and enter into default before 1 October 2025?
Closing
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
53
·
187
Will the FDA grant market approval for a brain-computer interface (BCI) with indications for use in able-bodied individuals by 31 December 2030?
Closing
Feb 12, 2025 04:59AM UTC
·
46
·
52
5%
Chance
Will the FDA approve the repurposing of a drug originally indicated for a neurodegenerative disease to also treat traumatic brain injuries by 31 December 2030?
Closing
Feb 12, 2025 04:59AM UTC
·
46
·
53
21%
Chance
Will the FDA accept an Investigational New Drug (IND) application for a novel drug containing preclinical evidence generated solely from "in silico" studies by 31 December 2035?
Closing
Feb 12, 2025 04:59AM UTC
·
46
·
57
10%
Chance
1
2
3
4
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