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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will Wagner Group or Africa Corps deploy to Togo or an additional African country before 1 January 2026?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
47
·
193
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?
Closing
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
140
·
594
1%
Chance
Will the Syrian Democratic Forces collapse, fragment, or lose control over key territories, specifically Manbij, Raqqa, or Deir ez-Zor, before 1 October 2026?
Closing
Oct 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
·
49
·
125
62%
Chance
Will the sub-Saharan African governments listed (Angola, Kenya, Ethiopia, Nigeria) cease to service their external debt and enter into default before 1 October 2025?
Closing
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
20
·
58
Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa in the next six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
53
·
210
55%
Chance
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
115
·
386
0%
Chance
Will the O-RAN Alliance’s specifications be integrated into 3GPP before 1 January 2027?
Closing
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
·
25
·
150
Will the Lebanese parliament elect a president in the next six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
51
·
489
47%
Chance
Will the Latin American governments listed (Argentina, Bolivia, Ecuador) cease to service their external debt and enter into default before 1 October 2025?
Closing
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
35
·
82
Will the Houthi movement and Yemen reach a ceasefire that is in effect on 31 December 2024 and lasts at least six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
64
·
647
0%
Chance
1
2
3
4
5
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