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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?
Closing
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
·
185
·
1429
Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?
Closing
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
·
148
·
1256
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
220
·
1102
3%
Chance
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
117
·
1097
8%
Chance
Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?
Closing
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
84
·
891
0%
Chance
Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test within the next six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
144
·
755
4%
Chance
Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?
Closing
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
·
73
·
715
5%
Chance
Will another Chinese military base in an African country (excluding Djibouti) be under construction or established by 1 January 2027?
Closing
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
·
95
·
653
30%
Chance
In the next 18 months, will a Russian government cyber attack occur against energy or transportation infrastructure within a NATO country that produces a kinetic effect, causing physical damage or human casualties?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
125
·
641
7%
Chance
Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa in the next six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
88
·
633
36%
Chance
1
2
3
4
5
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