RAND Forecasting Initiative

Question

Crowd Forecast

On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?

Closing May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC · 200 · 1315

6%

Chance

Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?

Closing Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC · 173 · 1190

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?

Closing Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC · 190 · 1151

1%

Chance

Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?

Closing Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC · 132 · 1060

7%

Chance

Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?

Closing Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC · 139 · 1055

Will Myanmar hold national elections before 1 July 2025?

Closing Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC · 101 · 1016

2%

Chance

Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?

Closing Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC · 103 · 922

2%

Chance

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

Closing Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC · 207 · 843

1%

Chance

Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?

Closing Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC · 74 · 734

1%

Chance

Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?

Closing Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC · 69 · 587

8%

Chance

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Season

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On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?

6%

Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?

1%

Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?

7%

Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?

Will Myanmar hold national elections before 1 July 2025?

2%

Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?

2%

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

1%

Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?

1%

Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?

8%

Status

Season

Sort By

Filter By

Topics

Tags

6%

1%

7%

2%

2%

1%

1%

8%