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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
218
·
1014
3%
Chance
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?
Closing
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
217
·
1396
0%
Chance
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?
Closing
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
·
182
·
1355
Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?
Closing
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
·
145
·
1189
Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test within the next six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
139
·
675
2%
Chance
Will the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of India and the People's Republic of China engage in a lethal confrontation by 30 September 2025?
Closing
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
127
·
188
3%
Chance
In the next 18 months, will a Russian government cyber attack occur against energy or transportation infrastructure within a NATO country that produces a kinetic effect, causing physical damage or human casualties?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
121
·
575
7%
Chance
If a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict goes into effect in 2025, how long will it last?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
118
·
387
Will Myanmar hold national elections before 1 July 2025?
Closing
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
116
·
1147
1%
Chance
Will human bioengineering activities cause a biological event of high consequence (pandemic, panzootic, or epiphytotic) before 1 January 2030?
Closing
Jan 01, 2030 05:00AM UTC
·
115
·
406
7%
Chance
1
2
3
4
5
…
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