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Question
Crowd Forecast
On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?
Closing
May 31, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
215
·
1491
10%
Chance
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
213
·
928
3%
Chance
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?
Closing
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
202
·
1265
0%
Chance
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?
Closing
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
·
176
·
1266
Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?
Closing
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
·
140
·
1119
Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
135
·
1120
7%
Chance
Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test within the next six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
135
·
606
5%
Chance
In the next 18 months, will a Russian government cyber attack occur against energy or transportation infrastructure within a NATO country that produces a kinetic effect, causing physical damage or human casualties?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
118
·
510
10%
Chance
If a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict goes into effect in 2025, how long will it last?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
115
·
317
Will Myanmar hold national elections before 1 July 2025?
Closing
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
109
·
1077
1%
Chance
1
2
3
4
5
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