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Question
Crowd Forecast
If a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict goes into effect in 2025, how long will it last?
Closed
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
140
·
871
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
Closed
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
248
·
1641
2%
Chance
In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 17, 2022 and Dec 17, 2022)
Closed
Dec 17, 2022 04:00PM UTC
·
0
·
0
0%
Chance
In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 17, 2022 and Nov 17, 2022)
Closed
Nov 17, 2022 04:00PM UTC
·
0
·
0
0%
Chance
In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 17, 2022 and Oct 17, 2022)
Closed
Oct 17, 2022 04:00PM UTC
·
0
·
0
0%
Chance
What percentage of the world's AI patents will be granted in China in 2022?
Closed
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
·
41
·
107
What percentage of the world's AI patents will be granted in the European Union and United Kingdom in 2022?
Closed
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
·
27
·
66
What percentage of the world's AI patents will be granted in the United States in 2022?
Closed
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
·
28
·
76
In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 17, 2022 and Sep 17, 2022)
Closed
Sep 17, 2022 04:00PM UTC
·
0
·
0
0%
Chance
Will the U.S. military acknowledge using an autonomously operated drone to identify and deploy lethal force against a human target in the next four quarters (year)? (Scores for forecasts between Jul 24, 2022 and Aug 24, 2022)
Closed
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
·
0
·
0
0%
Chance
1
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