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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will the FDA accept an Investigational New Drug (IND) application for a novel drug containing preclinical evidence generated solely from "in silico" studies by 31 December 2035?
Closing
Feb 12, 2025 04:59AM UTC
·
44
·
53
11%
Chance
[EXPERIMENTAL] Which of the following categories will realize the most commercial adoption of bioelectronics by 31 December 2035?
Closing
Feb 12, 2025 04:59AM UTC
·
29
·
36
Will the FDA approve the repurposing of a drug originally indicated for a neurodegenerative disease to also treat traumatic brain injuries by 31 December 2030?
Closing
Feb 12, 2025 04:59AM UTC
·
43
·
48
23%
Chance
Will any CBRN weapons (chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear) be used by a state actor in an armed conflict by 31 December 2030?
Closing
Feb 12, 2025 04:59AM UTC
·
53
·
66
Will a shelf-stable whole blood substitute be FDA approved for human use by 31 December 2030?
Closing
Feb 12, 2025 04:59AM UTC
·
45
·
56
8%
Chance
Will a protein of at least 400 amino acids in length be successfully produced in a laboratory setting using automated chemical synthesis and verified by 31 December 2030?
Closing
Feb 12, 2025 04:59AM UTC
·
31
·
38
14%
Chance
Will the FDA grant market approval for a brain-computer interface (BCI) with indications for use in able-bodied individuals by 31 December 2030?
Closing
Feb 12, 2025 04:59AM UTC
·
44
·
49
5%
Chance
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