tango
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
2%
Kuwait
9%
Oman
3%
Qatar
12%
Saudi Arabia
2%
Tunisia

Kuwait: not officially recognized 

Oman: Shown some signs of improving relations with Israel, it had not officially recognized Israel's statehood

Qatar: not officially recognized 

Saudi Arabia: not formally recognized Israel's statehood. However, there were indications of increasing diplomatic engagement between the two countries.

Tunisia: not officially recognized 

Basis this, putting in base;ine forecast numbers


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