Forecasted Questions
Will Egypt experience an economic collapse (as defined by any of the listed scenarios) in the next 12 months?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(23 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(23 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 06, 2025 04:54AM UTC
(7 months ago)
May 06, 2025 04:54AM UTC
(7 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 7% | 2% | +5% | -3% |
| No | 93% | 98% | -5% | +3% |
Will another Chinese military base in an African country (excluding Djibouti) be under construction or established by 1 January 2027?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 06, 2025 04:54AM UTC
(7 months ago)
May 06, 2025 04:54AM UTC
(7 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59% | 17% | +42% | -16% |
| No | 41% | 83% | -42% | +16% |
Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test within the next six months?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(23 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(23 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 18, 2025 09:42AM UTC
(21 days ago)
Nov 18, 2025 09:42AM UTC
(21 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 20% | Nov 18, 2025 to May 18, 2026 | Dec 18, 2025 | 2% | +18% | +1% |
| No | 80% | Nov 18, 2025 to May 18, 2026 | Dec 18, 2025 | 98% | -18% | -1% |