124th
Accuracy Rank

Carranza

Forecasted Questions

Will Iran eliminate its stockpile of uranium enriched up to 60% by 31 December 2024, according to the IAEA?

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(28 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 14, 2024 02:43AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes, the stockpile will be reduced by 100% to 0 kg 0% 0%
No, the stockpile will be reduced by 50% or more (>0 kg - 61.8 kg) 0% 0%
No, the stockpile will be reduced by less than 50% (>61.8 kg - 123.6 kg) 1% 1%
No, the stockpile will increase (>123.6 kg) 99% 99%

Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(28 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 21, 2024 10:11PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Kuwait 32% 1%
Oman 32% 2%
Qatar 16% 1%
Saudi Arabia 65% 2%
Tunisia 16% 1%
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