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Why do you think you're right?
Historically and in current months they've been around that amount so it's close to 50/50. Though with added focus on other immigrants and social issues there might be less success in going over that amount. Combine that with the 50% chance of being below that and I'll give it a 48/62.
Why might you be wrong?
B/c out of the provided data there's a 50/50 chance they hit it.