Forecasted Questions
When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(13 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(13 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 03, 2025 09:56PM UTC
(9 months ago)
Apr 03, 2025 09:56PM UTC
(9 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 January 2025 - 31 March 2025 | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| 1 April 2025 - 30 June 2025 | 21% | 0% | +21% | -8% |
| 1 July 2025 - 30 September 2025 | 21% | 0% | +21% | -14% |
| 1 October 2025 - 31 December 2025 | 7% | 2% | +5% | -14% |
| Not before 2026 | 51% | 98% | -47% | +36% |