anajulia-juarez

Ana Julia Juárez
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anajulia-juarez
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Apr 30, 2025 05:11PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
38%
Yes
Mar 31, 2025 to Sep 30, 2025
62%
No
Mar 31, 2025 to Sep 30, 2025
Why do you think you're right?

North Korea is really interested in testing their weapons because there are rumors that the president of the country is interested in getting back the territory they lost in past wars. 

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Why might you be wrong?

An agreement can suddenly appear or the president of North Korea can be interested in other territories or doing other things for his country and economy

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My First Question

Congratulations on making your first forecast!
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Why do you think you're right?

Because since there is a lot of political tension worldwide right now, they are starting to act and are started to be involved in belic conflicts, in the text it says that chemical weapons were being used in the war of Syria, so it is very likely to happen again in another war in the same region or other. And the other weapons may be used illegally or against people's will because the countries that are now having conflicts are China, USA and Russia which are known by their military force, so I consider they will not care if they use any of these weapons. 

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Why might you be wrong?

Maybe if international organizations step up and stop conflicts or control the use of weapons by countries. Also if there is a worldwide peace by this year.

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