How many U.S. job postings requiring machine learning skills will be published between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
Closed Jul 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
Related questions. This question was previously issued for 2020 Q3 and 2021 Q1. You can view those forecasts here and here. For 2020 Q3, the answer was 39,364 and the median crowd forecast was 37,271. For 2021 Q1, the answer was 60,006.
Context. Job postings reflect the priorities and expectations of employers. They provide hints about future research and development.
Data and resolution details. This question is based on data from Burning Glass Technologies. The date of a job posting is the date Burning Glass retrieves the data. The question resolves when CSET receives Burning Glass data through December 31, 2021.
Through February 2021, 34,663 U.S. job postings requiring machine learning skills were posted, which puts the first half of 2021 on pace for 106,328 job postings.
The data underlying the graph is here.
This question is a metric for the following scenarios:
- The Impact of COVID-19 on the ML Research Field
- Three Possible 2025 Worlds that Should Inform Policy Today
To suggest a change or clarification to this question, please select Request Clarification from the green gear-shaped dropdown button to the right of the question.
Question clarification
Note that the value of 2021 Q1 is 60,006, a ~50% increase from 2020 Q4.
The answer is 133,599
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than 70,000 | 7% | |
Between 70,000 and 90,000, inclusive | 22% | |
More than 90,000 but less than or equal to 110,000 | 34% | |
More than 110,000 but less than or equal to 130,000 | 26% | |
More than 130,000 | 11% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 108 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 60 | |
Number of Forecasts | 277 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 224 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |