Will the U.S. Justice Department file an antitrust lawsuit against Google by September 14, 2020?

Started Aug 21, 2020 04:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC

Context. Attorney General William Barr recently stated that he hopes to make a decision about whether to bring an antitrust lawsuit against Google by the end of summer. The Justice Department has been investigating whether Google violated U.S. antitrust laws for over a year and has reportedly been close to filing a lawsuit since June. The lawsuit would be one of the largest U.S. antitrust lawsuits since the Justice Department and 20 states sued Microsoft in the 1990s. 

Data and resolution details. This question resolves based on a U.S. court filing or official announcement by the Justice Department. A lawsuit qualifies as an antitrust lawsuit if it's brought, at least in part, under the Sherman Act of 1890, Clayton Act of 1914, or Federal Trade Commission Act of 1914. 

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 14.22%
No 85.78%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 132
Average for questions older than 6 months: 60
Number of Forecasts 221
Average for questions older than 6 months: 224
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.041538
2.
-0.040679
3.
-0.039296
5.
-0.038829

Consensus Trend

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