SPECIAL NOTICE: INFER is now the RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI). Learn more about RFI.
 

Get to know RFI

This is your hub for the latest events and resources from the program, including research on the science and practice behind crowdsourced forecasting.

Program news & events 

RFI News

  • February 2024 INFER is now the RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI)

The Blog

  • Catch our latest blog posts here.  

Report and Alert Archive

  • Read all of our reports created for government stakeholders here.  

Discussion Forum

  • Start or contribute to a discussion thread with other users about our forecasting topics here.  

INFER Featured In

Getting started with forecasting?

Tips for making your first forecast

learn more

Learn about crowdsourced forecasting

News Articles

Research & Whitepapers

Books

  • Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction. Crown. (2015)
  • Thinking Fast and Slow. Farrar, Straus and Giroux. (2011)
  • The Wisdom of Crowds. Anchor. (2005)
  • Perfectly Confident: How to Calibrate Your Decisions Wisely. Harper Business. (2020)
  • Thinking in Bets. Portfolio. (2018)
  • The Undoing Project: A Friendship That Changed Our Minds. W. W. Norton & Company. (2016)
  • How Not to Be Wrong. Penguin Books. (2014)

Other

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