Plataea479
made their 26th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
1 January 2025 - 31 March 2025
0% (0%)
1 April 2025 - 30 June 2025
0% (0%)
1 July 2025 - 30 September 2025
1% (0%)
1 October 2025 - 31 December 2025
99% (0%)
Not before 2026
Why do you think you're right?

https://youtu.be/W5TJK-v9rBQ?si=GKIblVJES_zgYgr4

Steven Rosenberg BBC long time correspondent translates leading Russian papers daily and reads in English excerpts from Kommersant, Muscovy Komsolets Izvestia. 

This excerpt illustrates Russian elite demand for  Ukraine's unconditional defeat or surrender. It was the West who attacked Russia., Ukraine is just a part of this ongoing hybrid war between the West and Russia.

This  conflict has become the raison d'etre for the existing regime and the West wants to destroy Russia and it's civilization.

When this is the zeitgeist in Russia its inconceivable that Putin would agree to a permanent cease fire in Ukraine.

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Why might you be wrong?

The Russian economy could collapse and there could be regime change. Short of secondary sanctions on all purchasers of Russia hydrocarbons, Russian economy will not collapse in the next 6 to 12 months. Even with such sanctions,Russia could probably survive with assistance from DPRK and PRC indefinitely.

Russia will not collapse like USSR in 1991.

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