~107,500 burnt acres were added today, July 15 (see here for the links & methodology), which brings the acres burnt in July 1-15 to 781,037, at ~61% of the required threshold with 16 days still to go. A naive linear projection brings this to ~1.61M for the whole of July.
We need an average of ~31,400 acres/day burnt for the next 16 days in order to reach the threshold, which seems easily achievable under the circumstances (the July average so far is at ~52,000/day)...
Why do you think you're right?
~107,500 burnt acres were added today, July 15 (see here for the links & methodology), which brings the acres burnt in July 1-15 to 781,037, at ~61% of the required threshold with 16 days still to go. A naive linear projection brings this to ~1.61M for the whole of July.
We need an average of ~31,400 acres/day burnt for the next 16 days in order to reach the threshold, which seems easily achievable under the circumstances (the July average so far is at ~52,000/day)...
Why might you be wrong?
As before