How many measles cases in the U.S. will be reported by the CDC between 1 January 2025 and 30 September 2025?
ctsats made their 30th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Less than or equal to 1349
39% (+1%)
Between 1350 and 1499, inclusive
61% (-1%)
Between 1500 and 1649, inclusive
0% (0%)
Between 1650 and 1799, inclusive
0% (0%)
More than or equal to 1800
Why do you think you're right?

CNN tracker at 1458, unchanged from yesterday: https://edition.cnn.com/health/measles-cases-us-dg

Utah at 25, +1 from yesterday - hence +10 from CDC's latest: https://epi.utah.gov/measles-response/

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Why might you be wrong?

As before

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