ctsats
made their 13th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
38% (0%)
Less than $350 million
38% (0%)
More than or equal to $350 million but less than $500 million
19% (0%)
More than or equal to $500 million but less than $650 million
4% (0%)
More than or equal to $650 million but less than $800 million
1% (0%)
More than or equal to $800 million
Why do you think you're right?

18.7M were raised on Dec 11 by a German company, bringing the total so far to 164.4M.

Linear extrapolation now gives 164.4/11.6*24=340M, very close to the border between the 1st and 2nd bins.

Affirming.

Files
Why might you be wrong?

As before.

Files
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username