Eric-Qian

Eric Qian
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Why do you think you're right?

Because the world need peace

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Why might you be wrong?

I’m not wrong

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Eric-Qian
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

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China is likely to increase its help towards African countries. The economic situation of China right now is not very optimistic, which would trigger the Chinese government to show its power by doing more military help and showing its power in Africa.

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New Prediction
Eric-Qian
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Feb 12, 2025 01:33AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10% (-18%)
Yes
Nov 12, 2024 to May 12, 2026
90% (+18%)
No
Nov 12, 2024 to May 12, 2026

Seeing that Russia is already struggling in the war against Ukraine, I do not seee the possibility that Russia would  make it involved in another conflict with NATO country, which makes it harder to win in the war against Ukraine

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New Prediction
Eric-Qian
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Dec 12, 2024 01:31AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
80% (0%)
Yes
Nov 12, 2024 to May 12, 2025
20% (0%)
No
Nov 12, 2024 to May 12, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
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Eric-Qian
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Eric-Qian
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Jan 29, 2025 12:36AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
28%
Yes
Oct 29, 2024 to Apr 29, 2026
72%
No
Oct 29, 2024 to Apr 29, 2026

I think since Russia is not winning in the war, they may resort to other approach to try winning the war.

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