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Relative Brier Score
2
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0
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| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
(0%)
Yes
70%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
90%
Yes
10%
No
China is likely to increase its help towards African countries. The economic situation of China right now is not very optimistic, which would trigger the Chinese government to show its power by doing more military help and showing its power in Africa.
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Feb 12, 2025 01:33AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10%
(-18%)
Yes
Nov 12, 2024 to May 12, 2026
90%
(+18%)
No
Nov 12, 2024 to May 12, 2026
Seeing that Russia is already struggling in the war against Ukraine, I do not seee the possibility that Russia would make it involved in another conflict with NATO country, which makes it harder to win in the war against Ukraine
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 12, 2024 01:31AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
80%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 12, 2024 to May 12, 2025
20%
(0%)
No
Nov 12, 2024 to May 12, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
60%
(0%)
Yes
40%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jan 29, 2025 12:36AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
28%
Yes
Oct 29, 2024 to Apr 29, 2026
72%
No
Oct 29, 2024 to Apr 29, 2026
I think since Russia is not winning in the war, they may resort to other approach to try winning the war.
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Why do you think you're right?
Because the world need peace
Why might you be wrong?
I’m not wrong