214th
Accuracy Rank

Faded_Oracle

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Forecasted Questions

Will Egypt experience an economic collapse (as defined by any of the listed scenarios) in the next 12 months?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 07, 2025 03:36PM UTC
(5 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 2% 2%
No 98% 98%

Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 07, 2025 03:36PM UTC
(5 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 1% 3%
No 99% 97%

Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 07, 2025 03:38PM UTC
(5 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Estonia 1% 3%
Latvia 1% 2%
Lithuania 1% 3%

Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 01, 2025 02:18AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Moldova 5% 6%
Armenia 2% 2%
Georgia 2% 3%
Kazakhstan 1% 1%

Will another Chinese military base in an African country (excluding Djibouti) be under construction or established by 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 01, 2025 02:18AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 60% 17%
No 40% 83%
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