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160th
Accuracy Rank
Hinterhunter
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Artificial Intelligence
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Formerly on Foretell
Geopolitical Security
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
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INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
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Mission: AI Advancement
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semiconductors
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Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Sep 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Will the value of 1 US Dollar equal or exceed 800,000 Iranian Rial on the open market (or 80,000 Toman, as reported on Bonbast) before 1 September 2023?
-0.004189
Sep 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Will a top U.S. chemical or oil and gas company join the BOTTLE consortium as an industry partner by 31 August 2023?
-0.000036
Sep 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
How many teams from the United States will compete in the 2023 iGEM Grand Jamboree?
-0.002046
Aug 22, 2023 09:00AM UTC
Will Prayut Chan-o-cha be re-elected as prime minister of Thailand by the Thai parliament after the next election and before 1 Jan 2024?
-0.008752
Aug 21, 2023 09:00PM UTC
Will GenScript’s Industrial Synthetic Biology segment report an operating profit in the first half of 2023?
-0.02855
Aug 20, 2023 08:00PM UTC
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jul 20, 2023 and Aug 20, 2023)
0.000168
Aug 20, 2023 05:25PM UTC
Will Russia successfully launch a moon mission on or before 1 Sep 2023?
0.252532
Jul 20, 2023 08:00PM UTC
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jun 20, 2023 and Jul 20, 2023)
0.0
Jul 11, 2023 01:00PM UTC
Will Sweden become a full member of NATO before the NATO Summit in July 2023?
-0.025738
Jul 02, 2023 04:00AM UTC
How many “venture capital members” will be part of BioMADE at the end of June 2023?
-0.059344
Jul 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Which of the following companies will announce a new neuromorphic chip or system by 30 June 2023?
-0.033225
Jun 20, 2023 08:00PM UTC
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between May 20, 2023 and Jun 20, 2023)
0.0
May 20, 2023 08:00PM UTC
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Apr 20, 2023 and May 20, 2023)
0.0
May 10, 2023 04:00PM UTC
What will Ginkgo Bioworks foundry revenue be in the first quarter of 2023?
0.067943
Apr 18, 2023 04:06PM UTC
How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for January, February, and March 2023 combined?
0.01008
Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM UTC
Will events involving Russian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities occurring in Georgia or Moldova before 1 April 2023?
-0.004161
Apr 17, 2023 04:00AM UTC
From 1 April 2022 to 1 April 2023, what will be the highest number of ACLED recorded protests/riots in a single calendar month in Russia?
-0.022845
Apr 10, 2023 09:00PM UTC
What will be the highest average price recorded for a gallon of diesel in the U.S. between 6 Feb 2023 and 10 Apr 2023?
-0.001099
Apr 05, 2023 07:15PM UTC
Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test on or before 31 March 2023?
-0.030244
Apr 05, 2023 07:14PM UTC
Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 6, 2022 and Feb 1, 2023)
-0.000323
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