I think we will soon have confirmation that this question will close as Yes.
[News] China’s SiCarrier Reportedly Eyes DUV Breakthroughs for 5nm, Debuting Products This Week
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 19 | 22 | 306 | 288 | 1634 |
| Comments | 4 | 5 | 123 | 118 | 741 |
| Questions Forecasted | 19 | 22 | 59 | 54 | 226 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 1 | 3 | 28 | 23 | 296 |
| Definitions | |||||
I think we will soon have confirmation that this question will close as Yes.
[News] China’s SiCarrier Reportedly Eyes DUV Breakthroughs for 5nm, Debuting Products This Week
As the wider world has increased interest in this question I've lost some interest, even as the topic remains relevant, as many geopolitical pieces have moved in the past 10 months.
However, this remains hard to decode for some : https://www.trendforce.com/news/2025/11/10/news-decoding-chinas-lithography-push-to-challenge-asml-from-sicarrier-to-alternative-euv-paths/
I guess part of what I'm trying to say is that a side effect of our judgements here was judging the correct response the Trump administration and allies should take on this question, as well as the accuracy of the views of the Jamestown foundation on this matter.. This is were I have lost interest, as funding and diplomatic priorities have been defined.
Why do you think you're right?
Crowd forecast in too high here considering time remaining and public discourse (and thus public commitments) being about peace for the moment.
Why might you be wrong?
Reversal of russian peace proposal?