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Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
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INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
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Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
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Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
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Iran Nuclear Program
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metric-question
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Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
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semiconductors
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U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Will events involving Russian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities occurring on or in the soil, airspace, or territorial waters of a NATO member state before 1 April 2023?
-0.00384
Mar 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Feb 17, 2022 and Sep 1, 2022)
-0.001903
Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 March 2023?
-0.008322
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
-0.004345
May 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Apr 3, 2022 and May 3, 2022)
-0.001507
Apr 27, 2022 09:00PM UTC
When will the end of day closing value for the Russian Ruble against the US Dollar drop below 75 Rubles to 1 USD?
0.353315
Apr 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Mar 3, 2022 and Apr 3, 2022)
-0.003665
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