Confirmed previous forecast
0.202557
Relative Brier Score
12
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 28 | 28 | 40 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Yes
90%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jan 15, 2026 07:50PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 15, 2025 to Jun 15, 2026
98%
(0%)
No
Dec 15, 2025 to Jun 15, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(-15%)
Yes
85%
(+15%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Updating the probability initially given to a Yes because i do not see a new control for AI before the end of 2026
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Because of change of geopolitical policies that could affect directly the AI controls
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
Yes
70%
No
Why do you think you're right?
There is a chance for update the current controls but it is small
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Need for more controls due to changes in , for example, China´s policies
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Yes
90%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 27, 2025 10:08PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2%
(0%)
Yes
Oct 27, 2025 to Apr 27, 2026
98%
(0%)
No
Oct 27, 2025 to Apr 27, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
