Confirmed previous forecast
-0.322994
Relative Brier Score
209
Forecasts
36
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 209 | 209 | 209 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 158 | 158 | 158 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 36 | 36 | 36 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Badge
Top Forecaster - Nov 2025
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Badge
Oracle - Bronze
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard 3 months in a row.
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Top Forecaster - Oct 2025
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
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Top Forecaster - Sep 2025
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
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Star Commenter - Sep 2025
Earned for making 5+ comments in a month (rationales not included).
New Prediction
How many major hurricanes (Category 3 or above) will make landfall in the continental United States between 1 June 2025 and 30 September 2025?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
100%
(0%)
Less than or equal to 1
0%
(0%)
Between 2 and 3, inclusive
0%
(0%)
Between 4 and 5, inclusive
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 6
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Less than or equal to 1349
0%
(0%)
Between 1350 and 1499, inclusive
100%
(0%)
Between 1500 and 1649, inclusive
0%
(0%)
Between 1650 and 1799, inclusive
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 1800
Confirmed previous forecast
Files