Forecasted Questions
Will scientists successfully create a synthetic cell from chemically synthesized components by 1 January 2035?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 07, 2025 08:04PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Sep 07, 2025 08:04PM UTC
(3 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 19% | 10% | +9% | -3% |
| No | 81% | 90% | -9% | +3% |
In the next 18 months, will a Russian government cyber attack occur against energy or transportation infrastructure within a NATO country that produces a kinetic effect, causing physical damage or human casualties?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(24 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(24 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 20, 2025 12:29AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Oct 20, 2025 12:29AM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4% | Oct 20, 2025 to Apr 20, 2027 | Jan 20, 2026 | 6% | -2% | +2% |
| No | 96% | Oct 20, 2025 to Apr 20, 2027 | Jan 20, 2026 | 94% | +2% | -2% |